Labour set to plunge to 140 seats at general election, Fabian Society warns | LabourList

by / Tuesday, 03 January 2017 / Published in News

Labour could slump to 140 seats in the next general election, the Fabian Society warns today in a landmark report. The non-factional group, affiliated to Labour, says the party is too weak to win a general election – whether held this year or in 2020 – but that it is unlikely to be replaced as the main opposition party as the electoral system creates a “firebreak” that protects the party. Labour’s current polling numbers would translate into fewer than 200 seats, according to Stuck: how Labour is too weak to win, and too strong to die. However the report cautions that mid-term polling has previously overstated Labour’s support by around eight per cent, which could mean as few as 140 seats at the next election. It would remain “by far the largest opposition party”, the report adds, stating that “the party does not face oblivion and will be able to rebuild”. “The threat of UKIP is being exaggerated in some quarters. Even if UKIP was tied with Labour in votes cast the smaller party would

Source: Labour set to plunge to 140 seats at general election, Fabian Society warns | LabourList

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